# Retrospect vs Prospective Cred

**URL:** <https://discourse.sourcecred.io/t/retrospect-vs-prospective-cred/47>\
**Category:** Research\
**Created:** [September 28, 2018, 8:58pm UTC](https://discourse.sourcecred.io/t/retrospect-vs-prospective-cred/47 "2018-09-28T20:58:46Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 2

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**Author:** ![s\_ben](https://yyz2.discourse-cdn.com/flex032/user_avatar/discourse.sourcecred.io/s_ben/32/816_2.png) [@s\_ben](https://discourse.sourcecred.io/u/s_ben)\
**Post date:** [February 7, 2020, 3:40am UTC](https://discourse.sourcecred.io/t/retrospect-vs-prospective-cred/47/2 "2020-02-07T03:40:39Z")

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> [@cbrocoum](#):
>
> If you made a new contribution, could you predict or estimate how much cred it would accrue? [like which areas of the repo would be valuable to concentrate effort on?]

While we haven’t yet discussed predicting how much cred a contribution will make at the algorithmic level (afaik), the main mechanism for accruing value to the Grain token is [Boosting](https://discourse.sourcecred.io/t/boosting-a-prediction-market-on-ideas/306), which creates a prediction market on which contributions will increase in cred over time. So players of the “SourceCred game” will be financially incentivized to use whatever means at their disposal (including algorithms presumably) to make predictions, creating “prospective” cred.

> [@cbrocoum](#):
>
> If a new pull request was logged, based on say characteristics or location in the graph, could SourceCred suggest which collaborators might be best suited to address it? [i.e. obvious one would be for a bug whoever originally worked on it, but I can imagine many much more nuanced answers to this…]

I haven’t seen this talked about yet (doesn’t mean it hasn’t:) But the graph is a rich source of data for all sorts of analysis. Plenty of ideas generally around that.

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